Parallel statistical model checking for safety verification in smart grids

By using small computing devices deployed at user premises, Autonomous Demand Response (ADR) adapts users electricity consumption to given time-dependent electricity tariffs. This allows end-users to save on their electricity bill and Distribution System Operators to optimise (through suitable time-dependent tariffs) management of the electric grid by avoiding demand peaks. Unfortunately, even with ADR, users power consumption may deviate from the expected (minimum cost) one, e.g., because ADR devices fail to correctly forecast energy needs at user premises. As a result, the aggregated power demand may present undesirable peaks. In this paper we address such a problem by presenting methods and a software tool (APD-Analyser) implementing them, enabling Distribution System Operators to effectively verify that a given time-dependent electricity tariff achieves the desired goals even when end-users deviate from their expected behaviour. We show feasibility of the proposed approach through a realistic scenario from a medium voltage Danish distribution network

User flexibility aware price policy synthesis for smart grids

In order to optimally manage a modern electricity distribution network, peaks in residential users demand should be avoided, as this can reduce energy and network asset management costs. Furthermore, this must be done without compressing residential users demand. To this aim, in a demand response setting, residential users are given a price policy, which economically motivates them to shift their loads in order to achieve this goal. However, if the price policy for all users is similar, this demand response may result in simply shifting the demand peaks (peak rebound), leaving the problem unsolved. In this paper we propose a novel methodology which i) for each network substation s, automatically computes the desired power profile to be kept in order to optimally manage the network itself, ii) for each network substation s, automatically synthesizes individualized price policies for residential users connected to s, so that s is kept at the desired profile. Note that price policies individualization avoids the peak rebound problem, as different users have different low tariff areas. Furthermore, our methodology measures the flexibility of a residential user as the capacity needed by a home energy storage system (e.g., a battery) to always follow the given price policy, thus mitigating residential users discomfort. We show the feasibility of our approach on a realistic scenario taken from an existing medium voltage Danish distribution network